Wednesday, March 3, 2010

Why bad predictions fail

Okay, we’ve all had our laugh at Clifford Stoll’s expense, heck the guy came out of the woodwork to admit what a bonehead he was when he made it. But people make terrible predictions all the time.

I never said,"640K of memory should be enough for anybody."No one involved in computers would ever say that a certain amount of memory is enough for all time. I've said some stupid things and some wrong things, but not that.

Look at Bill Gates. Great card player, can bluff with the best of them, but he’s made some howlers about the future of tech, and still makes them to this day,  yet people always forget or let him off the hook because … well, he’s Bill Gates. And then there’s Robert X. Cringely. His last year blogging for PBS, he made some spectacular whoppers, in fact, his last year was his worst year, yet. So, he’s pretty much laid off the predictions and concentrated on trying to make money from the interwebs, somehow. covers the Clifford Stoll ballyhoo and delves deeper on why experts always go askew when trying to guess the future of tech. I blame Jules Verne, myself. Reading him as a kid, he made me believe one could build a rocketship in one’s backyard and blastoff to the moon. As it is, Jules Verne proved to be one of the true visionairies who got it right.

Monday, December 7, 2009

Get a new replacement Mac free … now!

according to Robert X. Cringely. He believes Jobs & Apple want that J.D. Powers Award so bad they’ll do anything to make Apple customers happy now. I’d like them try to replace

my train-smashed iTouch and country fried MacMini for nothing, so nothing ventured nothing gained. I wonder if they’ll do Windows, too?

UPDATE: Oops! The catch is your Apple product has to be under warranty. But maybe there is going to be something called leeway, eh?

Friday, November 20, 2009

From iPhone to iMind

iCringely predicts how Ray Kurzweil’s singularity will bring about our minds as the new interface, while making a sly left handed compliment to the iPhone – but how will I block ads from Google? Or will it be Micro-hoo? I dunno – do you?